HomeTradingUNI holds intraday bounce, daily trend weakens

UNI holds intraday bounce, daily trend weakens

In summary

  • UNI Analysis: Price at 6.39 USDT sits below the 20/50/200 EMAs, confirming a bearish daily bias.
  • RSI at 41.27 → momentum remains weak; bounces could fade without follow-through.
  • MACD line (-0.52) slightly above signal (-0.57) with +0.05 hist → early stabilization, not a trend shift.
  • Bollinger mid at 6.74; lower band at 5.15 → room lower if pressure resumes; volatility (ATR14) at 0.51 suggests moderate risk.
  • Intraday (H1/M15) turns constructive, but UNI Analysis keeps D1 as main driver: sellers still have the upper hand.

Multi-timeframe analysis

UNI Analysis — Daily (D1)

UNI trades near 6.39 USDT, firmly below the EMA20 (6.73), EMA50 (7.66), and EMA200 (8.49). This alignment signals a persistent bearish trend where sellers keep control on rallies.

RSI sits at 41.27, below the 50 line, indicating negative momentum. Buyers seem hesitant, and rebounds may stall into resistance.

The daily MACD line (-0.52) is marginally above the signal (-0.57) with a small positive histogram (0.05). That shows fading downside pressure, but not a confirmed reversal.

Bollinger Bands place price under the mid-band (6.74) with a lower band at 5.15. Trading below the mid-band often keeps the downside path open unless reclaimed. Meanwhile, ATR14 at 0.51 points to moderate volatility, so risk control matters.

The daily Pivot is 6.35 with R1 at 6.46 and S1 at 6.28. Holding above PP helps intraday bounces, but failure below S1 could reignite selling.

UNI price Analysis — Hourly (H1)

On H1, UNI holds above the EMA20 (6.31), EMA50 (6.26), and EMA200 (6.26). Intraday structure is bullish, suggesting dip-buying interest.

RSI at 62.51 confirms positive momentum, while a slightly positive MACD (hist 0.01) shows steady but not euphoric upside. Price hovers near the upper Bollinger band (6.43), hinting at short-term overextension. ATR14 at 0.06 implies tight ranges where breakouts can accelerate quickly.

H1 Pivot: PP 6.38, R1 6.39, S1 6.37. Staying above PP favors continuation toward the upper band.

UNI price Analysis — M15

On M15, price sits above the EMA20 (6.37), EMA50 (6.33), and EMA200 (6.25), keeping a bullish micro-structure intact.

RSI is 58.25 with a flat MACD histogram, pointing to steady but fragile momentum. Bands are tight (6.35–6.42), and ATR14 at 0.02 signals compression ahead of a potential quick move.

Overall, D1 stays bearish while H1 and M15 lean higher — a cautious setup. If intraday momentum fades below pivots, the daily trend could reassert. See additional context and technical drivers in our recent deep-dive on UNI’s volatility and token updates as well as Uniswap’s official app interface.

Key levels

UNI Analysis — Levels to watch

Focus on daily support and resistance from EMAs, pivots, and Bollinger bands. These tend to govern the next impulse. Key events around UNI token seen here may prompt market shifts. For broader sector context see crypto market cap and dominance trends.

Level Type Bias/Note
6.28 Pivot S1 (D1) Key support; loss opens downside
6.35 Pivot PP (D1) Balance point; reclaim helps stabilization
6.46 Pivot R1 (D1) First resistance; intraday trigger
6.73 EMA20 (D1) Near-term trend barrier
7.66 EMA50 (D1) Medium-term resistance
8.49 EMA200 (D1) Primary trend resistance
6.74 Bollinger mid (D1) Mean reversion area
8.34 Bollinger upper (D1) Stretch target if trend flips
5.15 Bollinger lower (D1) Downside stretch target

Trading scenarios

UNI Analysis — Bearish (main)

Trigger: Rejection below 6.46 followed by a drop under 6.35 and a D1 close below 6.28. Target: Continuation toward the lower Bollinger band near 5.15. Invalidation: D1 reclaim of 6.73 (EMA20). Risk: Volatility is moderate; consider stops around 0.5–1.0× ATR (≈0.26–0.51).

UNI Analysis — Bullish

Trigger: D1 break and hold above 6.73 (EMA20) and a follow-through over 6.74 (Bollinger mid). Target: 7.66 (EMA50), then 8.34 (upper band) if momentum persists. Invalidation: Return below 6.35. Risk: Use 0.5–1.0× ATR to size risk as momentum can stall at EMAs. See also broader altcoin and DeFi sector drivers.

UNI Analysis — Neutral

Trigger: Range-bound action between 6.28 and 6.46 with fading momentum signals. Target: Mean reversion toward 6.35 (PP). Invalidation: Break outside the range with volume. Risk: Tight ranges (H1/M15 ATRs at 0.06/0.02) can whipsaw; plan smaller stops.

UNI price analysis: the market context

Total crypto market cap stands at 3,843,926,897,393.22 USD, up 1.43% in 24h. BTC dominance is 57.78%, while the Fear & Greed Index reads 30 (Fear). In this backdrop, the UNI Analysis leans cautious: high dominance and fear often cap altcoin follow-through. For ongoing metrics and DeFi overview, see total market cap and sentiment structures.

Overall tone: defensive. If sentiment improves, bounces can extend; if fear persists, daily resistance levels may keep rallies contained.

UNI Ecosystem (DeFi or chain)

DEX activity is mixed. Uniswap V3 shows fees change 1d at -22.67% and 7d at -35.28%, while Uniswap V2 has -21.48% (1d) but a strong +199.34% (30d). Uniswap V4 is softer 1d (-2.42%) yet +7.88% over 30d. Curve DEX prints +34.10% (1d) and +69.99% (30d). Fluid DEX rises 34.11% (1d) but -27.95% (7d) and -32.29% (30d).

Mixed fees suggest selective participation across DeFi platforms. See UNI token recent events and macro sector sentiment for how DeFi liquidity impacts UNI price structure.

Satoshi Voice
Satoshi Voice
Satoshi Voice is an advanced artificial intelligence created to explore, analyze, and report on the world of cryptocurrency and blockchain. With a curious personality and in-depth knowledge of the industry, Satoshi Voice combines accuracy and accessibility to offer detailed analysis, engaging interviews, and timely reporting. Featuring sophisticated language and an unbiased approach, Satoshi Voice serves as a trusted source for those seeking to understand crypto market dynamics, emerging technologies, and the cultural and financial implications of Web3. This article was produced with the support of artificial intelligence and reviewed by our team of journalists to ensure accuracy and quality. Guided by the mission of making cryptocurrency information accessible to all, Satoshi Voice stands out for its ability to turn complex concepts into clear content, with an engaging and futuristic style that reflects the innovative nature of the industry.
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