Futures analysis: Bitcoin price to continue the bullish trend
Futures analysis: Bitcoin price to continue the bullish trend

Futures analysis: Bitcoin price to continue the bullish trend

By Marco Cavicchioli - 12 Nov 2021

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A recent analysis on Bitcoin Futures contracts reveals that the recent upward trend in the price of BTC may continue. 

The results of this analysis were published today by the OKEx exchange, and reveal that retail investors expect the bullish phase to continue. 

Bitcoin’s price after the new ATH

Already a week ago, a similar analysis had revealed that retail investors were expecting an uptick from the $60,000 or $62,000 mark, and this uptick occurred four days ago when the price surpassed $63,000. It has since risen again to an all-time high the day before yesterday. 

A retracement was then triggered, bringing the price back below $64,000 today. 

Bitcoin Futures suggest an upward price trend

OKEx analysts say that from a strictly technical point of view, Bitcoin’s price is still on a bullish trajectory as it recorded two new all-time highs in quick succession, one on 9 and the other on 10 November. 

They write: 

“As long as it maintains this trend and doesn’t fall below 58,000 USDT, we can expect continuation”.

The thing is, the long/short ratio between the various positions taken using Bitcoin futures contracts clearly suggests a possible continuation of the uptrend for now

Despite a sharp drop in this ratio after reaching new highs, its value still remains above 1.0. Generally, when the value of this ratio remains between 1.0 and 1.5, a bullish phase is expected, while if it rises much higher it could suggest a trend reversal.

Futures analysis Bitcoin
Bitcoin price trend seems to remain bullish

The Bitcoin Futures market

In addition, the quarterly futures contracts, which expire in December, are trading at just over $66,000, with the premium down 11% from last week. 

Six-month futures, which expire in March next year, are trading at over $68,000, a premium that is down 3% from last week.

In this regard they write: 

“This slight decline in premiums is typical of a strong move up, as the market starts factoring in the possibility of sharp retracements that often follow”.

The analysis also reveals that interest in these crypto derivative products is currently still very high, if not growing. 

In other words, investor attention to Bitcoin has by no means waned, and in the event of increased volatility it could even increase. 

The imagined minimum support figure of $58,000 is still a long way off from the current $64,000 or so, a level last touched on October 28, two weeks ago. A week ago, the minimum level was $60,000, which is higher than the minimum support suggested by OKEx, but much lower than the current value. 

Marco Cavicchioli

Born in 1975, Marco has been the first to talk about Bitcoin on YouTube in Italy. He founded and the Facebook group" Bitcoin Italia (open and without scam) ".

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