Bitcoin: record for open interest on BTC
Bitcoin: record for open interest on BTC
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Bitcoin: record for open interest on BTC

By Federico Izzi - 22 Jul 2020

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Yesterday’s aggregate derivatives volume exceeded $4.3 billion of open interest on Bitcoin for the first time, the highest level since last March.

In the last few hours, there have been hesitant signs of unfreezing from the numbness that has been haunting Bitcoin since last May and which in the previous days has seen volatility drop to the lowest levels in the last 4 years. 

Yesterday, the modest upward movement (+1.8% from yesterday’s levels) brought the prices of Bitcoin back to $9,400, levels that had not been recorded since the first week of July. This has started to move the whole sector a bit. Most of the altcoins benefited from it. 

coin360 20200722
Source: COIN360.com

Over 75% are in positive territory. Among the top 20, positive signs clearly prevail. Only two signs are below par, Stellar (XLM) slipping by 0.5% and Chainlink (LINK) falling by 3%, after the strong rises that characterized mid-June and ended in mid-July. Thanks to this increase, Chainlink reached almost $9.

LINK 20200722

It currently fluctuates just under $7 and is looking for support to start again.

Yesterday’s small leap of Bitcoin also stirred up volumes, which are growing again at a general level and reached 80 billion dollars in the last 24 hours, +30% from Monday’s levels. 

Derivatives: record for open interest on Bitcoin

Not only the spot market but also derivatives (futures and options) are once again in full swing. 

The leading exchange in the industry, BitMEX, marks exchanges for a counter value of just over 1 billion dollars, levels that had not been seen since the beginning of March.

Same levels for the other famous exchange, Huobi. The other exchanges that allow trading on Bitcoin’s future derivatives, ByBit and Binance, recorded 450 million dollars on Bitcoin’s open interest volumes, the highest levels ever.

Options also see open interest rise, and not just for Bitcoin. On Bitcoin, the open interest exceeds $1.4 billion, the highest level since June 25th, but also options on Ethereum fly over $125 million

Compared to the levels of July 1st, the dollar counter value of open interest also doubled on Ethereum options.

This shows that operators are also looking at the trades and the current movement as more of a consolidation opportunity for a next high leap, and this allows them to hedge their risk by raising their put positions for the risk of possible declines. 

In the last 24 hours, the total volume of open options on put positions has doubled that of calls covering the risk of possible increases. This shows that professional operators are betting more on the next upward movement while maintaining the defence of hedges. 

Stablecoin and DeFi records

Alongside Bitcoin and altcoins, it’s also a historic day for stablecoins pegged to the US dollar that for the first time managed to break the 10 billion capitalization threshold

Tether holds 83% of the market cap, trading a volume that doubles the market cap, with 22 billion dollars, equal to over 97% of the entire trading volume on all stablecoins.

DeFiPulse 20200722

It’s also a historic day for the total value locked on the dApps of decentralized finance, which for the first time exceeds 3 billion jumping over $3.11 billion. The rise of TVL (Total Value Locked) continues for DeFi, with liquidity tripling on the entire sector compared to the total of 1 billion recorded on June 12th.

A glorious day for Aave (LEND) that conquers, for the first time, the third position with more than 508 million dollars locked as collateral. Maker, Compound and Aave together hold about 65% of the entire market. 

PNT 20200722

Eidoo continues to climb, showing an increasingly bullish trend. In the last 24 hours, PNT has made a further leap of more than 15%, bringing the prices back to over $1.15 after breaking the dollar level yesterday. 

PNT returns to the levels of June 2019, which correspond to the highs of the last 2 years. PNT (formerly EDO) is at a crucial point in the medium and long term. The market rewards the recent development of Eidoo’s team, which has recorded a performance that since the lows of mid-March is close to 2,900%

With today’s rises, the total market cap reaches $277 billion, a handful of billions more than yesterday’s levels. The dominance of Bitcoin remains unchanged just over 62%. The dominance of Ethereum is also unchanged at 9.8% and Ripple at 3.2%.

BTC 20200722
Bitcoin chart by Tradingview

Bitcoin (BTC)

Bitcoin exceeds $9,450 for the first time since July 7th. A nod of possible increase that also makes the volumes increase to the extent that for the first time since July 6th, the trading volumes reach 1.7 billion dollars.

This highlights how a brief indication is enough to trigger the movements over the course of the day. There are still no clear signs of upward breaking even though option traders are seeing the protection volume increase on support levels. The main one remains at $8,950. After the break of the 9,350, the hedge in the $9,250 area begins to rise. Upwards, the crucial level to break down remains at $9,600, last recorded exactly one month ago.

ETH 20200722
Ethereum chart by Tradingview

Ethereum (ETH)

Good upward leap for Ethereum, returning for the 6th time in the last two months to test the $248-250. For ETH it’s yet another demonstration of wanting to break the $250 resistance. 

However, volumes are necessary, which yesterday returned to rise again after 10 days, exceeding $600 million, a level not recorded since July 8th. For Ethereum, the coverage of operators in options remains stable. The main one starts to move from $215 to $225, while the closest one is $235. These are the levels to be monitored in case of a trend change for Ethereum. 

Since the beginning of June, despite the sideways trend, Ethereum shows that it does not want to give up the medium and long term supports, precisely at $225.

 

Federico Izzi
Federico Izzi

Financial analyst and independent #trader – S.I.A.T. & Assob.it partner. He operates actively on stock and derivatives markets (futures and options) since 1997. A precursor of cyclic-volumetric analysis he is known for having identified the most important upward and downward movements in the financial markets of recent years. He participates annually as a speaker at the ITForum in Rimini since the 2010 edition and InvestingRoma and Napoli since the first edition of 2015. He is a guest and market expert on the "Trading Room" and "Market Driver" broadcasts of Class CNBC, Borsa Diretta.tv and on the evening news of Traderlink. Since July 2017 he is a permanent guest on LeFonti.TV, the only weekly national space dedicated to cryptocurrencies alongside the most important international experts in the field. He was interviewed as a cryptocurrency expert for Forbes Italia, Panorama, StartupItalia and DonnaModerna. He was recognized as the first Italian technical analyst to have published the first secular cyclic analysis on Bitcoin. Periodically publishes articles on ITForum News, Sole24Ore, MILANOFINANZA, TrendOnLine and Wall Street Italy. Federico Izzi is... "Zio Romolo".

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